MyFundedCapital SchoolCourse · 4 lessons · 16 min
Prediction Markets
Prediction Markets lets you buy YES or NO on real events, priced from Polymarket, with no leverage and no charts to read. This course explains how the contracts pay, what a price tells you, and the rules that shape every position.
Finish the course, then practise it in the free MyFundedCapital Terminal demo.
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Lessons
You will learn
- Read a YES or NO price as cost, payoff and implied odds
- Turn the daily loss, trailing floor and payout rules into dollars
- Size a position inside the max profit per event cap
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Prediction Markets checklist
Rules as of 3 Nov 2026. Tick each line before your next session.
| Rule | Prediction Markets |
|---|---|
| Profit target | 10% |
| Daily loss limit | 3% |
| Maximum loss | 6% · trailing |
| Consistency | 35% |
| First payout | after 7 days |
| Then every | 7 days |
| Profit split | 75% → 90% |
1. How do prediction markets work?
- A winning share settles at $1.00, a losing one at $0.00; the price in between is the market’s odds.
- An event can hold several markets, and the risk rules group them by event.
- No shorting and no leverage: to take the other view, you buy the other side.
2. What are the Prediction Markets challenge rules?
- Daily loss: 3% of yesterday’s closed balance, checked on equity, reset at 17:00 New York time.
- The 6% floor follows your equity high and never stops at the starting balance.
- Funded: 75% split, first payout after 7 days, then every 7 days.
3. What is the max profit per event rule?
- The cap is on potential profit if you are right, not on what you paid or your open gain.
- All markets inside one event share a single cap; splitting positions creates no extra room.
- Cheap contracts use the cap fastest: the lower the price, the more profit per share.
4. What do YES and NO prices mean in a prediction market?
- Price in cents = cost per share = the market’s rough odds.
- Shares = amount ÷ price. Profit if right = shares × ($1.00 − price).
- A market price is an estimate, not a guarantee; liquidity and fees shape it too.
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The numbers
| Rule | Prediction Markets |
|---|---|
| Profit target | 10% |
| Daily loss limit | 3% |
| Maximum loss | 6% · trailing |
| Consistency | 35% |
| First payout | after 7 days |
| Then every | 7 days |
| Profit split | 75% → 90% |
Read from the live rulebook (3 Nov 2026). Your program terms apply.
Prediction Markets · From $274
Trade real events with your limits on screen
Prediction Markets accounts start from $274 one-time, with sizes from $5,000.