Step 1 of 5
Market structure: highs and lows
A trend is a pattern of swings. In an uptrend each rally ends above the last one and each pullback ends above the last pullback: higher highs and higher lows. A downtrend is the mirror: lower highs and lower lows.
Say EURUSD on 4h rose to 1.0880, pulled back to 1.0830, rose to 1.0910 and pulled back to 1.0855. Both the highs (1.0880, 1.0910) and the lows (1.0830, 1.0855) are rising. That is an uptrend, and 1.0855 is the last higher low: the price the trend has to hold.
Step 2 of 5
Uptrend, downtrend or range
| State | Structure | What tends to work |
|---|---|---|
| Uptrend | Higher highs, higher lows | Buying pullbacks to support or a rising average |
| Downtrend | Lower highs, lower lows | Selling rallies into resistance |
| Range | Highs and lows at similar prices | Trading the edges, or waiting for a break |
Markets spend a lot of time in ranges. Calling a range a trend is one of the most common reasons for a run of small losses. If you cannot say clearly which state the chart is in, that is an answer too: wait.
Step 3 of 5
Confirm with timeframes and a moving average
Check the trend on the timeframe above the one you trade. If you enter on 15m, the 1h or 4h chart should agree. A 15m uptrend inside a 4h downtrend is often just a pullback.
A moving average gives a quick second opinion. Add a 50-period EMA from the Indicators menu under Moving averages. In an uptrend, price stays mostly above it and the line slopes up; in a downtrend the reverse. A flat average with price weaving through it points to a range.
The Trend category in the Indicators menu holds more tools, but one average plus clear structure is enough to start.
Step 4 of 5
When a trend is in question
An uptrend is in question when price closes below the last higher low. In the example, a 4h close under 1.0855 would break the pattern. It does not prove a new downtrend; it means the reason for buying is gone.
Two practical rules follow. First, stop buying pullbacks once structure breaks, and wait for a new pattern of highs and lows. Second, do not try to call the exact top. Selling every new high “because it has gone up a lot” means trading against the structure, and that tends to produce a run of small stops.
Step 5 of 5
Trading with the trend in the Terminal
- On 4h, confirm higher highs and higher lows and price above a rising EMA.
- Mark the last higher low and the nearest support below the price.
- On 1h or 15m, wait for a pullback into that support.
- Place a buy limit at the zone, or a market order once a candle closes there.
- Put the stop below the last higher low, size with Risk % at, say, 0.5%, and read the box If the stop loss hits before you send.
On a $10,000 1-Step Challenge account at 0.5% risk, it takes 10 losing trades in a row to reach the daily loss limit. A trend plan that fails a few times is a normal week, not a breach.
Recap
- Structure first: higher highs and higher lows up, lower highs and lower lows down.
- The higher timeframe sets the direction; the lower one only times the entry.
- A break of the last higher low puts an uptrend in question; it does not prove a reversal.
Check yourself
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Lesson complete
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